Showing posts with label fundamental Analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fundamental Analysis. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 2, 2021

MER Key Fundamental and Technical Indicator as Mar 02, 2021

Latest news today is that their net core income drop by 9%. I see that technically, the trend seems to be in bearish mode. 

See more on the video;



Tuesday, June 30, 2020

How expensive is BDO fundamentally based on their March 2020 financial report?

BDO Unibank Inc. (BDO), originally known as Acme Savings Bank, was acquired by the SM Group in 1976. BDO listed its shares on the Philippine Stock Exchange on May 21, 2002. The Company merged with Equitable PCI Bank in May 2007. 


BDO offers an array of products and services, i.e. retail banking; lending (corporate, commercial, consumer, and SME); treasury; trust; credit cards; corporate cash management; and remittances. Through its subsidiaries, the Company offers leasing and financing; investment banking; private banking; bancassurance; insurance brokerage; and stock brokerage services.


The Company's local subsidiaries include BDO Private Bank, Inc.; BDO Leasing and Finance, Inc.; BDO Capital & Investment Corporation; BDO Nomura Securities, Inc.; and BDO Insurance Brokers, Inc. The Company also has foreign subsidiaries in the US, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Canada, and Macau. The Company's associates include NLEX Corporation; SM Keppel Land, Inc.; Northpine Land Inc.; Taal Land, Inc.; and MMPC Auto-Financial Services Corporation.


As of December 31, 2018, BDO has 1,309 operating domestic branches (inclusive of one branch each in Hong Kong and Singapore), 4,325 automated teller machines and 484 cash deposit machines.



As of June 29, 2020, BDO was last traded at 94PHP per share. Its market price is  41.9% lower from its 52 week high. Is this fundamentally cheap and technically time to buy? 


Trailing P/E = 9.4 Indicating that for every 1php income last 2019, investors are willing to pay 9.4php.


Trailing PEG Ratio = 0.3, meaning, investors are willing or is paying 9.4php for every peso income last 2019 relative to growth growth rate of 35.4% which is the change of EPS from 2018 to 2019. A PEG ratio of less than 1 is considered undervalued.



Price to Book Value per share (P/B) = 1.1, meaning, the current market price per share is just 1.1 times higher that the real worth of the company as based on their March 2020 financial report. Usually, a P/B of less than 3 is considered undervalued.



Technically, the MACD momentum is in selling signal. RSI also is indicating a continuation of selling.  If I’m the investor, I would wait first for a sign of momentum reversal and not enter yet, but fundamentally, this is a good stock to accumulate. 


Disclaimer: Trade or invest at your own risk.

Monday, June 29, 2020

How expensive fundamentally is COL based on their annual report?

COL Financial Group (COL), formerly CitisecOnline.com, Inc., was incorporated on August 16, 1999, and on February 21, 2012, SEC approved the Company's application for the change in company name to the present one. COL engages in the business of brokerage and/or dealership of securities, and to provide stock brokerage services through the internet. 


The Company provides its customers with an array of products and services including full-service online stock brokerage, wide selection of mutual funds in a single platform, professional equity advisory services, investing tools and functionalities, research support, investor education seminars, market updates and information-driven briefings, and customer support.


In April 2017, Daiwa Securities Group, Inc. (Daiwa) acquired 14.9% of COL, giving Daiwa the opportunity to participate in the Philippine retail trading segment. Daiwa is an established financial services firm in Asia.


The Company owns 100% of COL Securities (HK) Limited, formerly CitisecOnline.com Hong Kong Limited, a foreign subsidiary domiciled and incorporated in Hong Kong, which primarily acts as a stockbroker and invests in securities.



As of June 26, 2020, MPI was last traded at 17.5PHP per share. Its market price is  7% lower from its 52 week high. Is this fundamentally cheap and technically sound to buy?


Trailing P/E = 18.2 Indicating that for every 1php income last 2019, investors are willing to pay 18.2php.



Technically, you can see that the MACD is still in bullish momentum, but RSI seems to indicate a peek in overbought indicator, signalling a sell off for profit talking.


In conclusion, P/E seems to suggest overvalued and the graph seems to indicate profit taking. 


If you want to know more about the fundamentals in terms in PEG and Price to book value, message me here.


Disclaimer: Trade or invest at your own risk.

Friday, June 26, 2020

MACD and RSI indicator of MEG Share as of Yesterday


Above is the latest MEG graph. As of yesterday's trading, MEG closed at 3php.


As you can see, for the 6 consecutive tradings, the market price keeps dropping causing the signal line to cross MACD line signaling a selling point, while RSI is in the direction of getting oversold.


What does this entail? Technically, MACD is still in the bullish trend as it still above zero lines, but the direction of its momentum seems to be going down along with the RSI getting oversold. In the next few days, we might see a bounce back.


I’m waiting for the RSI to reach a point of at least 40, I might accumulate more of this. 


My confidence stems from its fundamentals. Based on the market price yesterday.



Price to book value = 0.5 (based on 2019 annual report) Indicating that the current price is half the value of the real worth of the company.


Trailing P/E = 5.5 Indicating that for every 1php income last 2019, investors are willing to 5.5php, usually, this could indicate that the stock is either losing its popularity or undervalued, my bet is the latter.


Trailing PEG Ratio = 0.3 Indicating that for a growth rate of 17.3% (change in EPS from 2018 to 2019), investors are willing to pay 5.5php for every 1php income last 2019. Stocks like this are usually fundamentally undervalued. Typically, you should be willing to pay for every peso income more than the growth rate, but this share seems to indicate otherwise, thus undervalued.


Disclaimer: Trade or invest at your own risk.


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Thursday, June 18, 2020

How expensive is Ayala Corporation (AC) fundamentally based on their March 2020 financial report?


Ayala Corporation (AC) was founded in 1834, incorporated on January 23, 1968, and was listed on the Philippine Stock Exchange in 1976. AC is the holding company of the Ayala Group of Companies, with principal business interests in real estate and hotels; financial services and insurance; telecommunications; water infrastructure; electronics solutions and manufacturing; power generation; transport infrastructure; automotive; international real estate; healthcare; education; and technology ventures.


The significant subsidiaries of AC as of December 31, 2018, are Ayala Land, Inc.; Manila Water Company, Inc.; Integrated Micro-Electronics, Inc.; AC Energy, Inc.; and AC Industrial Technology Holdings Inc.



As of June 17, 2020, AC was last traded at 790.5PHP per share. The company is one of the PSE index company and top gainers from yesterday’s trading. Its market price dropped by at least 20% from its 52 week high, largely because of the COVID19 pandemic. But is it now fundamentally cheap to buy? 


In terms of P/E, AC recorded a trailing P/E of 14.6, meaning, for every 1PHP earning last 2019, investors of this company are willing or are paying 14.6Php. With 14.6 P/E and with a growth rate of 10.9% (change in EPS) from 2018 to 2019, the company trailing PEG ratio would be 0.36 which would be considered undervalued, typically, a PEG ratio of less than is in the category of undervalued.



In terms of price to book value per share, the current market price is currently 1.6 times higher than the book value as recorded in their March 2020 financial report, meaning, the company is perceived to be just 1.6 times higher compared to the real worth of the company. In terms of this parameter, It’s also undervalued, typically, PBV of less than 3 is considered undervalued.


In terms of income, as per their March 2020 financial statement, expectedly, it dropped by 17%.


Is this a good stock to accumulate fundamentally in this pandemic period? Based on the parameters above, it suggests that it’s fundamentally cheap to buy in this period. 


Disclaimer: Trade or invest at your own risk.

Tuesday, June 16, 2020

How expensive is WEB Fundamentally based on their March 2020 fInancial report?



PhilWeb Corporation (WEB) was originally incorporated on August 20, 1969 as South Seas Oil and Mineral Exploration Co. Inc. to engage in mining and oil exploration. The corporate name was later changed to South Seas Natural Resources, Inc. on March 29, 1984. In 2000, the Company again changed its corporate name to PhilWeb.Com, Inc., together with a change in its primary purpose to that of an Internet company. In 2002, the corporate name was changed to the present one. In 2005, the Company changed its primary purpose to that of application service provider for gaming and internet business activities as one of its secondary purposes.


In 2003, the Company received a license from the Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corporation (PAGCOR) to launch e-Games Stations, which are Internet cafes exclusively dedicated to casino games. With technology provided by WEB, patrons can choose from more than 300 casino games, including baccarat, blackjack, various slot machine games, video poker and sports betting. There are currently 288 operating e-Games cafes across the country, majority of which are owned and operated by independent operators. 


WEB’s subsidiaries include BigGame, Inc.; e-Magine Gaming Corporation; PhilWeb Asia-Pacific Corporation; Major Games and Amusement Corporation; and PhilWeb Mobile Lottery Corp., among others.



As of June 15, 2020, WEB was last traded at 2.36php per share. Its market price dropped by at least 50% from its 52 week high, largely because of the COVID19 pandemic, but is it now fundamentally cheap to buy?

In terms of P/E, WEB recorded a negative trailing P/E of 33.7, meaning, for every 1php earning last 2019, investors of this company are willing or is paying negative 33.7. With a negative P/E and with a negative growth rate (change in EPS) from 2018 to 2019, the company trailing PEG ratio would also be negative, which would be overvalued.



In terms of book value per share, the current market price is currently 11.8 times higher than the book value as recorded in their March 2020 financial report, meaning the company is perceived to be 11.8 times higher compare to the real worth of the company. In terms of this parameter, it’s also overvalued


In terms of income, as per their March 2020 financial statement, they also have a negative income.


Is this a good stock to accumulate fundamentally in this pandemic period? Obviously not, this is a stock being traded technically disregarding the fundamental value. 


Disclaimer: Trade or invest at your own risk.

Thursday, June 11, 2020

How expensive is BLOOM fundamentally based on their March 2020 financial report?

Bloomberry Resorts Corporation (BLOOM), formerly Active Alliance, Incorporated, was registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on May 3, 1999. BLOOM was a manufacturer of consumer communication and electronic equipment operating in Subic Bay Freeport Zone until 2003, when it suspended business operations. In February 2012, the SEC approved the change in its corporate name to the present one and the change in its primary purpose to that of a holding company for hotel and/or gaming and entertainment business companies.

The Company is the owner and operator (through its subsidiaries) of Solaire Resort & Casino (Solaire), the first integrated resort at the Entertainment City in ParaƱaque City, Metro Manila. The Company has marketing presence in Korea, Macau, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Taiwan and Japan.

The subsidiaries of the Company are: Sureste Properties Inc. (SPI), which owns and operates the hotel and other non-gaming facilities in Solaire; Bloomberry Resorts and Hotels, Inc., which has a gaming license from the Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corporation, and owns and operates the casino in Solaire; Solaire Korea Co. Ltd. and its subsidiaries Golden & Luxury Co., Ltd., which owns, and has a gaming license to operate, Jeju Sun Hotel & Casino, and Muui Agricultural Corporation, which owns prime real estate in Muui Island in Korea; and Bloom Capital B.V., which owns Solaire de Argentina S.A.


As of June 10, 2020, BLOOM was last traded at 7.88php per share. BLOOM is one of the listed company. It’s market price dropped by at least 30% from it’s 52 week high, largely because of the COVID19 pandemic, but is it now fundamentally cheap to buy?
In terms of P/E, BLOOM recorded a trailing P/E of 8.76, meaning, for every 1PHP earning last 2019, investors of this company are willing or is paying 8.76php. With a 8.76 P/E and with a growth rate of 38.4% (change in EPS) from 2018 to 2019, the company trailing PEG ratio would be just 0.23, which would be considered undervalued since a PEG ratio that is less than 1 is generally considered undervalued.


In terms of book value per share, the current market price is currently 2 times higher than the book value as recorded in their March 2020 financial report, meaning the company is perceived to be 2 times higher compare to the real worth of the company. It seems in terms of this parameter, I say it’s still in the range of undervalued.

In terms of income, as per their March 2020 financial statement, expectedly due to COVID19, the income dropped by 37%.

Is this a good stock to accumulate fundamentally in this pandemic period? Based on the indicators above, it suggest that it is fundamentally cheap to buy in this pandemic period.

Disclaimer: Trade or invest at your own risk.

Wednesday, June 10, 2020

How expensive SMPH fundamentally based on their March 2020 financial report?

SM Prime Holdings, Inc. (SMPH) was incorporated on January 6, 1994 to acquire and develop real estate, conduct and maintain commercial shopping centers including shopping center spaces for rent, amusement centers, movie or cinema theaters, and to construct and manage buildings such as condominium, apartments, hotels, restaurants, stores and other structures for mixed use purposes. The Company has now four business units, namely, malls, residential, commercial, and hotels and convention centers.

As of December 31, 2018, SMPH has 72 malls in the Philippines and seven shopping malls in China. The malls in China are located in the cities of Xiamen, Jinjiang, Chengdu, Zibo, Chongqing, Tianjin, and Suzhou. The Company has 44 residential projects, 13 commercial projects, six hotels, four convention centers and three trade halls. SMPH also owns Sky Ranch, an amusement park in Tagaytay City and within SM City Pampanga.

Among the Company's subsidiaries are SM Development Corporation; Costa del Hamilo, Inc.; Highlands Prime Inc.; Tagaytay Resort Development Corporation; SM Arena Complex Corporation; SM Hotels and Conventions Corp.; and SM Land (China) Limited.

As of June 9, 2020, SMPH was last traded at 33.5php per share. SMPH is one of the listed company. Its market price dropped by at least 20% from its 52 week high, largely because of the COVID19 pandemic, but is it now fundamentally cheap to buy?


In terms of P/E, SMPH recorded a trailing P/E of 25.38, meaning, for every 1php earning last 2019, investors of this company are willing or is paying 25.38php. With a 25.38 P/E and with a growth rate of 17.8% (change in EPS) from 2018 to 2019, the company trailing PEG ratio would be 1.42, which would be considered a bit of overvalued. A PEG ratio that is more than 1 is generally considered as overvalued.

In terms of book value per share, the current market price is currently 3.2 times higher than the book value as recorded in their March 2020 financial report, meaning the company is still perceived to be 3.2 times higher compare to the real worth of the company. It seems in terms of this parameter, it’s still overvalued

In terms of income, as per their March 2020 financial statement, expectedly due to COVID19 dropped by 5.4%.

Is this a good stock to accumulate fundamentally in this pandemic period? Based on the indicators above, it seems not good since even though the price dropped, it is still under the range of overvalued.

Disclaimer: Trade or invest at your own risk.

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